This is the problem
How so very linear. You must be of your USAF.
Ever hear 'red sky at night, sailor's delight ...'?
Knowing how to read the wind, sky, sea, etc., etc. can keep you alive and well fed, should the occasion arise.
Well, that is certainly part of the problem.
A mistaken belief that someone has been thinking is another part of the problem.
You have some messed up posts C M M.
Except in your case.