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Archer Daniels Midland Company Message Board

  • thebirge666 thebirge666 Feb 4, 2009 12:29 PM Flag

    Blackbox Q and A

    Seems a little shaddy that the spokesperoson would not answer the questions of the analyst. Any thoughts?

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    • I think the general or macro business strategy of adm is quite well laid out/known. The specific mechanics and planned execution of things like hedge of commodity price or acquistions before hand is not wise to disclose.
      Maybe that analyst should invest in a more transparent bank or financial institution. We all know how transparent they have been lately.

    • "any thoughts?" Yeah it give me a little light humor that i need these days. lol. There used to be a cliche "that you cant argue with success", well i guess one can argue with success lol. imho adm has the best agricultural market intelligence from field to supermarket one can have, so why be surprised when they get it right? Can your favorite star basket ball player keep leading the pack, probably yes, in the near or mid term.
      (no comment at t= infinity). Now why should someone who asks a question that goes to business strategy such as hedge or forecast of markets expect to be told all? Clearly what adm thinks the commodity market will is important to a lot of people and they may not wish to share this before they carry out their business plan. lol. I should think cargill, bg, and commodity traders would like to know what the current business plan adm has before its executed. Clearly adm is a favorite to win again next quarter relative to its competition.
      Is this guy afraid of leaders or winners? Heck adm does not have to hit it out of the park with earnings every quarter to be a great investment. Safe to say no company can hit earnings beyond expectations every time, as long as they can do it more often than the competition its the choice. have a good weakend.

    • Yeah, I think ADM should give a full detailed report of exactly how they hedge so all their competitors can take note. They wonder if these profit increases are sustainable...well they are doing it in the worst market conditions as possible, so a "genius" ANALyst should assume that they can do it when the market returns to normal. BOOHOO Barclays and JPM. Worst thing you can do is listen to what ANALysts have to say about anything. There's a few I like, but most of em just have Harvard degrees and Harvard doesn't have stock market college degrees. Very few places even offer financial management or investment management.

    • "corn corn corn
      tired of hearing about corn.

      ethanol is a very small amount of this companies business."

      Ethanol may be a small part of ADM's overall business, but corn is a huge part.

      Coca Cola, anyone?

    • Yes it sounds as if the income might be generated from trading rather than transactional based activity. I think most analysts would say that trading activity is unsustainable. However other areas of the business could pick up such as Ethanol with subsidies and the company could return to a more risk adverse model.

      I think the report does raise a potential red flag

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