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Archer Daniels Midland Company Message Board

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  • ramaji2 ramaji2 Apr 25, 2010 2:44 PM Flag

    Target price $30

    Too bad we can buy random banks real estate retail and blow away ADM performance... It's like it's a wildcard in institutions back pocket for when hyperinflation starts and not much else... It's all about the DBA imho... DBA over $30 and ADM is popping... btw TITN is a good related play here imo

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    • "It's all about the DBA"

      Very few things are ever about DBA. It's just a bad investment to compare it to other ag companies.

      DBA will suffer almost every year from contango. 5-7% (Sugar bailed them out last year, but that won't happen every year.) So it'll be hard pressed to ever rise and hold gains. If it wasn't for inflation, I would say DBA would NEVER hit 30 again. As in ever.

      And unless that said inflation occurs over a very short term period of high (hyper) inflation in the ag commodities, DBA will underperform year over year.

      Avoid it just like you should avoid UNG and USO. All destined for zero one day.

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