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Aradigm Corporation Message Board

  • arql07 arql07 Apr 13, 2013 8:40 AM Flag

    I was a buyer this week

    I listen to the recent presentations and feel that they are very close to landing a partner and advancing the nicotine product. I bought 50K shares this week, have now 90K. Believe we see $4 a share in two years. If they spinout the nicotine product, sharesholders could get a nice extra piece of this new company. I understand this has been a slow process, but that doesn't mean it won't get done. I believe the clearest sign that a deal is about to happen, is the willingness of the group to fund this $6M.

    What could a deal look like for ARDM on 3150 ph3 partner. I would guess something like $30M upfront and 20% royality stream after approval. If this is a $1B drug, shareholder could be looking at revenue stream of $200M a year. Not bad for a eleven cent stock. They have something like 18 years of patent protection on this compound. If they netted out $100M a year after expenses, they would have .40 earnings, with a conservative PE of 10, this is a $4 stock.

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