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Alcatel-Lucent Message Board

  • frankenstocken frankenstocken Oct 26, 2012 9:17 AM Flag

    time to buy more

    I want to buy 20k more shares before earnings or am i beating a dead horse ? trying to crystal ball the future .. Eric margins down ..zte margins down if we can get cisco margins down it is not just an alu number / problem but a more level playing field plus eric and juniper said north america was strong the rest was weak .. Vz capex down how much did alu get from sprint and verizon... India .. Telefonica and american movil ?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • You technical knowledge about the industry and ALU far exceed mine. I was thinking of adding position but refrain from doing so for one simple reason in that earning reports from its peers indicated a very tough market environment.
      Factors to be considered are as follow:
      1) Would ALU be different from its peers in terms of revenue? Not very likely.
      2) Has the market fully discounted the weak market for the pps of ALU? Probably has, to a certain extent.
      3) How much are you willing to loss if Q3 earnings are not great? It is conceivable pps can test the recent low of $0.9116 or slightly lower. So if your confidence level of ALU in medium to long term is high, accumulation may not be an bad idea.
      4) On the other hand if you are highly confident that Q3 is what the street projected than the up side can be 25-30 cents on the upside.

    • selling a pretty big asset... gonna throw some more at ALU .... balls it time

    • The wait is not as long as it was.........yes...its good time to buy

      • 1 Reply to buddhazenpeace
      • I still think the funds are dumping for the ending OCT quarter. Some funds year end quarter ends in Oct and they don't want this loser on the books. That being said, as I stated two days ago on this board, you are going to pay the price for holding on for the earnings report due on Nov. 2.

        If you believe in Ben when he said the 3rd and 4th quarters are going to be better, and if you are going to continue to hold for the earnings report the best time to add would be on Nov. 1st. probly under 1.00. I plan on added either on Nov 31, the lastest on Nov 1. If the report is good then on the 2nd is the time to load up even at a higher price. The funds unloading from their positions will be through and those funds still in will being adding on the good report, as will everybody else. DON'T LOAD UP prior to the report, just add few hundred or 3-5 thousand shares. Serious money comes in AFTER a good report. IMO. I'm hoping for the best for all longs.

3.55+0.10(+2.90%)Nov 26 4:04 PMEST

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