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Alcatel-Lucent Message Board

  • antstod antstod Jan 30, 2013 2:54 PM Flag

    The Drop the Last 2 days makes perfect sense

    January effect coming to an end, this stock will pull back heavily. It's a bloated pig with too many shares... PIGS GET SLAUGHTERED.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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    • With ALU recently opening at a high for the day, then closing at the low, for 3 or 4 days straight days....there was no doubt which way this stock was headed.

      In the $1.70s, it was basically running on the fumes of all the loan information, and the likelihood of asset sales. And now, those factors have lost their news appeal.

      Next up....the 4Q report....which is a coin toss. End of year CAPEX might have saved the Q....hopefully, maybe.....if not, look for a dismal 1Q and 2Q.

      By the way, I was amused by ALU's comment in the Goldman presentation material, where they said that 1Q would show improved profitability, presumably as measured against the same period a year ago.

      Well, a year ago, ALU lost, excluding the Genesys proceeds, about 13 cents a share. The current estimate for 1Q13 is a loss of 10 cents a share. So that could mean that ALU could actually report more profitability over 1Q12 by reporting a LOSS of 11 or 12 cents a share......and still fail to meet or beat the 1Q 2013 consensus.

      I hope that does not happen, as I don't think that investors will be amused by that sort of "improvement".

 
ALU
2.52+0.11(+4.56%)Oct 21 4:03 PMEDT

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