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Exxon Mobil Corporation Message Board

  • bluecheese4u bluecheese4u Jul 25, 2013 8:33 PM Flag

    Bridge To The 2020s? Natural Gas Use Must Peak Between 2020 And 2030 To Meet Key Climate Goals, Report Finds

    Bridge To The 2020s? Natural Gas Use Must Peak Between 2020 And 2030 To Meet Key Climate Goals, Report Finds

    By Joe Romm on Jul 25, 2013 at 7:29 pm

    A new report finds natural gas must peak “sooner than many policymakers currently realize is necessary—if the United States is to meet its climate goals and avoid the worst impacts of global warming.”

    The report, from the Center for American Progress (where I am a senior fellow), concludes:

    There needs to be a swift transition from coal to a zero-carbon future by ensuring that the use of natural gas, particularly in the electric-power sector, peaks within the next 7 years to 17 years.

    This is based on climate science, pure and simple:

    … the crux of this report is that any long-term expansion and dependence on natural gas for electricity generation is incompatible with climate-stabilization targets because it also results in carbon pollution, although less than coal. The increase in global temperature must be kept within 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels, which means that the concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gas must be stabilized within 450 parts per million, or ppm, CO2 equivalent by 2050. This is the internationally recognized threshold, which was adopted in 2010 at the 16th session of the Conference of the Parties to the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change. Exceeding the 2 degree threshold would cause severe and frequent droughts, heat waves, floods, and storms, and lower-income households would be harmed the most, as they are less able to prepare for and recover from climate disasters.

    To meet the 2C (3.6F) goal, the Obama administration set these emissions-reduction targets, relative to 2005 levels:
    •A reduction of 17 percent by 2020
    •A reduction of 42 percent by 2030 as an intermediate target
    •A reduction of 80 percent by 2050 for climate stabilization

    A key point the report makes is that “This is a modest level of emissions reductions; the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chan

 
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