yes, i really believe that jrn WON'T be up 10-30% next year.
1) their earnings will probably actually DECLINE next year, even though estimates are for about flat
2) given #1, who is going to pay 20 times earnings for a company that isn't growing their earnings?
for 20 times earnings you can buy penn that grows earnings at 20%+ and has slots coming in pennsylvania.
if you're looking for value there are still plenty of reits that are paying 8% dividend yields like apro.
jrn isn't a terrible investment at 16, but there are much better places to put your money imho. that said, i doubt jrn will fall much farther from here - fair value is probably around 14.