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Apple Inc. Message Board

  • etray2000 etray2000 Apr 24, 2013 6:28 PM Flag

    iWatch Analysis...

    1) An iWatch is unlikely to have "universal appeal" similar to iPod, iPhone, and iPad. It will mostly appeal to younger males, severely limiting it's importance as a new product category or growth driver.

    2) An iWatch is unlikely to be subsidized by communication companies as it will not become a primary communication device for most consumers. Hence retail price is limited to sub $300 and Apple will face stiff competition from low-cost challengers. It is also unlikely to move many consumers toward purchasing an iPhone instead of other brands as they too can have a "phone-watch" combo.

    3) There are no foreseeable technological leaps that will be achieved in an iWatch. It will be an incremental miniaturization of existing iPhone technologies. It cannot have the impact to consumers that iPhone or iPad did.

    4) At very best, an iWatch could add 5% or slightly more to top-line and bottom line with no guarantees of "upgrade cycles" similar to iPhone. An iWatch, while very 'cool', cannot impact the share price dramatically. Share price growth will have to come from different products and product categories.

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