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  • keiretsunikkei keiretsunikkei May 24, 2013 1:19 PM Flag

    Markets Will Close Green Before Memorial Day Weekend

    very unpatriotic to close red on such a big consumer iToy holiday, everybody would be bummed out and nervous to spend $BILLIONS, don't ya think?

    again according to jp morgan analysts iPhone sales alone represent 0.5% of gdp.

    The weekend before Memorial Day will mark the unofficial beginning of summer. The markets have historically been relatively flat going into the “summer doldrums.” However, the DOW has been up ~50% of the time in the weeks that follow the holiday while the S&P and NASDAQ have been up ~60% of the time. Let’s break it down even further.

    Dow Jones Industrial Avg

    Tues after Memorial Day – Avg loss of -.01%, Best of +4.69% in 1962, Worst of -5.75% in 1932
    1 Week after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +.41%, Best of +10.76% in 1970, Worst of -7.60% in 1932
    1 Month after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +.39%, Best of +22.94% in 1938, Worst of -18.95% in 1930

    S&P 500

    Tues after Memorial Day – Avg loss of -.01%, Best of +4.65% in 1962, Worst of -7.45% in 1932
    1 Week after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +.55%, Best of +10.80% in 1970, Worst of -8.96% in 1932
    1 Month after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +1.12%, Best of +22.98% in 1938, Worst of -17.39% in 1930

    Nasdaq Composite

    Tues after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +.03%, Best of +7.93% in 2000, Worst of -3.35% in 2001
    1 Week after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +.89%, Best of +19.24% in 2000, Worst of -5.95% in 2002
    1 Month after Memorial Day – Avg gain of +1.04%, Best of +20.97% in 2000, Worst of -12.18% in 2002

    In fact, if you were to have started with an initial investment of $1000.00 in 1933 and only invested that money every year around Memorial Day here are the returns:

    3 Days Before: + 1.2%

    2 Days Before: – 10.4%

    1 Day Before: +16%

    1 Day After: – 5.7%

    2 Days After: + 3.3%

    3 Days After: + 3.8% Less

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