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Apple Inc. Message Board

  • argyle46 argyle46 Mar 4, 2014 5:59 PM Flag

    If implied volatility is any indication

    then AAPL is about to make a massive move higher.

    In early April 2013, IV soared higher. A couple of weeks later, AAPL dropped from $420 to $380.

    In late July-early August 2013, IV plunged lower. A couple of weeks later, AAPL rose from $450 to $500 (Icahn tweet).

    In November 2013, IV once again plunged lower. A couple of weeks later, AAPL soared from $520 to $575.

    IV is now LOWER than ALL the other times cited above. Also, it's been lower for a longer period of time.

    Judging solely on this basis, AAPL is about to make a $50+ move higher and it will happen any day now.

    I don't know WHY AAPL is about to move massively higher or what will be the catalyst. However, the last 3 times IV was this low, the stock moved much higher to the upside. The fact that IV is lower now than at any time in the past year, something BIG is about to happen.

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