Sapient Corp. Message Board

  • xfrner xfrner Apr 13, 2000 8:53 PM Flag

    Do not loose faith...

    Here are some interesting facts.

    Over the
    last 9 days:
    SAPE dropped from a high of 95 1/2 to
    69 (28% decline - if it wasn't for the 20 point jump
    on the 4th the decline would be more like
    20%)
    SCNT dropped from a high of 77 3/8 to 42 1/4 (45%
    decline)

    SAPE's volume has been less than half of it's average
    volume - today's trades looked like mostly small trades
    (couple of hundred on avg).
    SCNT's volume has been
    more than it's average volume with today being just
    less than 3 times the avg. volume.

    50.6% of
    SAPE's outstanding shares are held by 281
    institutions.
    29.9% of SCNT's outstanding shares are held by 124
    institutions.

    What does this mean?
    - That most of the SAPE
    trades have been by individuals who got nervous or had
    to cover margin calls (especially the last couple of
    thousand shares traded between 3:55 pm and 4pm).
    -
    That institutions are recognizing the value in SAPE's
    track record and strong earnings performance.
    -
    That SCNT has a $3B market cap (still overvalued for a
    company that is not making a profit) and SAPE has a $4B
    market cap (still undervalued for a company which has
    proven strong earnings).
    - Most of all, I'm
    encouraged by the large institutional holdings which
    reflects the trust that the street has in Jerry &
    Sapient.

    One more thing to note, if institutions are holding
    and not selling, and Jerry & Stu own appx 20% of the
    outstanding shares, that only leaves 30% (17.5MM shares) with
    the majority of that owned by senior insiders who can
    only trade 2 weeks/quarter. No wonder this puppy is so
    volatile...

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