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Silver Wheaton Corp. Message Board

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  • moses_on_wall_street moses_on_wall_street Nov 15, 2012 9:14 PM Flag

    JUNK IS GETTING CREAMED

    I won't go near debt issues.

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    • Why no debt issues? Irates are stable if uncharacteristically and artificially low. MREITS are being put off while new home builders are surging for no reason whatsoever. MREITS are cheap relative to any recovery, and irates will remain low long after we say bye bye to Uncle Ben. And yesterday they sold off and presented shares at $5.70- 6.50 numbers not seen since the flash crash.

      ARR is yielding nearly 20% at $6.50. ARR’s $13.3 billion portfolio of agency securities consists of 78.6% fixed-rate agency securities, 100% of which have 20-year final maturities or shorter and 21.4% are adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) and hybrid ARMs. The ability to ramp up the adjustable percentage of holdings in the unlikely event of increasing interest rates appeals. That, as well as portfolio insurance, is a big plus.

      ARMOUR invests in fixed-rate mortgages AND hybrid adjustable-rate and adjustable-rate residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued or guaranteed by U.S. government-chartered entities. This is Key: floating-rate loans don’t get prepaid, so ARR can avoid the kind of situation that AGNC is running into. When rates eventually rise, so will its portfolio interest income but that won't occur till 2018. At yesterday's firesale, lemming left the building. When they do, they’ll lift the stock higher, and i’ll already be well-positioned for the ride back to just under $8.

      • 1 Reply to yourdeadmeat69
      • Hello YDM. Interesting comments about ARR. AGNC and PHT as well as many others have taken big hits along with our PM's and general mrkt. What is your opinion of PHT? Do you still hold it? I have always been confused with "Dividend" vs. "Qualified Dividend". Seems that Dividends get taxed at 15% but Qualified Dividends based on your current tax rate. How can you find out which investment gets taxed on which basis? Always appreciated your well reasoned comments and eagernes to assist / help fellow investors. rgds, all4reel

        Sentiment: Hold

 
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