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Pandora Media, Inc. Message Board

  • posyche posyche Dec 11, 2013 11:21 AM Flag

    reality begins to set in

    yesterdays action appeared to be a pump based on all the investor activity through the week (ubs, etc)
    today's action appears to be reality setting in on the spotify announcement.

    mainly, not so much that they are just offering free mobile now, but that they have money, and are not
    standing still.

    as well, aapl hired an ad exec for its service, and as such, demonstrates to the market that the ad world revs
    are not going to be just about P. they will indeed have to share revs across the spectrum of competition
    which is now rising.

    this latest run down to 28.00 again is a severe slap in the face to those who jumped in the bounce toward 27.50 yesterday, which was actually a recent lower low.

    from the technical standpoint, that number is support, and touching near it was a telltale sign.
    when crashed, and it will be (maybe today), the stock can potentially fall quite fast to below 25.00
    as i have stated previously.

    standing by my possible 24.50 close by end of week, as there is not enough shorting recently to simply
    run the stock up on a squeeze. people/institutions actually have to buy this stock to run it up, as some did
    yesterday, and the run ups are weaker each time it moves to the upside.

    jmho, as usual,

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    • p has indeed caved, and the likelihood that analysts will now have an excuse to lighten their targets on
      the spotify news is now pretty high.

      the underwriters have gotten their profits at this point, and those who haven't on these previous upgrades
      now finally face an impending decline below 25.00.

      as it falls below, and with volume increasing on the day to "heavy", they will seriously have to ask
      how long a hold it will be to get back above, if at all ever.

      they take spotify seriously, especially if they compete for investment by going public.
      if spot heads toward an ipo, pandora will seriously cave to a more reasonable 12-16.00 valuation
      and that represents a serious loss for all the latecomers this year.


    • it is not just that spottily is moving free to mobile, rather that...
      "The ad-supported offering will allow nonpaying mobile users to play a limited number of songs on demand, but will mostly serve up music based on the user’s input, much like custom radio services such as Pandora Media Inc"

      this is in direct competition to p now, and rocco pandora is out in full force today trying to combat the drop.
      i seriously wonder where he gets paid.

      meanwhile, p is now moving into 27.18 range, which if broken now becomes a falling knife scenario.
      for today, i look for somewhere in the vicinity of an 8% drop, leaving p at around 26.90 close.

      after hours may see some serious institutional selling if they can find some buyers to trade hands, after which tomorrow should see the sub 26.00 mark, and heading toward a test of 25.00.

      twit...(that's what i think)

    • volume is increasing rapidly. appears to be testing the previous day's low of 27.67.
      if it moves down much more, it may well cave.

      again, jmho

    • Very well put speaking of put buy some... (puts not the stock) This has to come back to earth.

      Sentiment: Strong Sell

18.19+0.17(+0.94%)Dec 26 4:00 PMEST

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