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SUPERVALU Inc. Message Board

  • longtimefollower longtimefollower Apr 10, 2012 9:53 AM Flag

    Book value is now zero.

    Operating results continue to deterioriate...although not nearly as much as I had feared they would.

    Still, the guidance seems like a bit of a pipe dream. I would more likely suspect they'll do $1 in EPS this year, instead of the range he gave.

    The debt is too high. At their pay down rate, it would take tham 10 years to pay off their debt.

    If they can actually GROW their EPS, as projected this year, the stock could go to $10-12. But if EPS shrink 15-20%, as I suspect, the stock could drop to $4-5.

    Since I have little confidence, or basis to predict, the success of their current strategies (although I do like the way the CEO communicates), I'm putting it as a weak buy. (I do maintain a small position.)

    But I will say this: if insider don't step in and start buying in the open market, that will be a significant measure of the confidence level they have that the company will earn $1.27-1.42 this year. Truly.

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