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Google Inc. Message Board

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  • bo_rare bo_rare Feb 9, 2005 7:07 PM Flag

    test efficient mkt - next days of GOOG

    njswingtrader nice post

    We are direct participants in an exciting experiment:

    We shorts believe we have actionable information that GOOG will tank in the next several days.

    The efficient mkt theory says (as I understand) that today's closing price has priced in all available information and that we are no more likely to be right about the future than longs.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    The efficient market theory assumes the float is constant.

    The wild card is the attitude of the holders of the 177,000,000 shares there is no way the market could know because 65% of the market could not express it's opinion. So the market can't be efficient until they have had a few weeks or months to express their opinion about Google and their standard of living.

    Cheers

    Bo

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