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Google Inc. Message Board

  • thelordcaptnsir thelordcaptnsir Mar 18, 2006 12:53 PM Flag


    In the "Letters" section Barrons reiterated its negative stance on GOOG. They said its OVERVALUED.

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    • Any guess where it'll close on Monday? My short price is about 339.55. Wouldn't mind if it closed at $338!

    • IMO, but again I think you'd be wise to take a modest profit quickly and get out of the way. Google no longer trades with the same conviction it once did. I still think you may see a spike of $10-$15 in the pre-market on Monady but take the money and run!:-)

    • It is weird how Goog behaves after news. Really none of us can predict about the duration of a price effect from news. I agree that when it comes to earnings announcements, the effect can last 3-4 trading days, but I don't think it is the case here. Remember, there was bullish news on how the DOJ case was progressing on Wednesday and Goog briefly spiked to $352. However, by 11AM the next day the stock was again in the high 339-low 340s range. This DOJ news temporarily removes a privacy threat from the government, but does nothing to alter Goog's growth trajectory. I don't think anyone thought the government would impose serious conditions on Goog that would impair its core business. This was reflected in the modest pullback for Goog during last week's hearings. Any real regulatory threat would have sent Goog into the 250 range, IMO. Remember, the qualified growth language at earnings is what pushed Goog to the $343 range. Its been range bound since then.

    • Why wait for that, I'll buy your shares right now at $339. Hell, I'll make it $340. How many you want to sell me?

      Thought so.

    • If that's the case, I'll short.

    • With so many negative things going right now, why do you think it might jump 15 on Monday?
      The judge's ruling won't help the earnings at least in the near future.
      DOwnside is more than upside before ER.

    • only on these blippy newsy things which the DOJ news basically is, I guess.

      One of the beautiful things about goog with its size, and the fact that there is so little retail , is it rallies or corrects for DAYS after an event, earnings for example. You can make a TON going into puts or calls AFTER earnings as goog continues the trend for the next 8 days. Most stocks go where they are going in the first day after earnings.

    • When I sell, I may lay off the GOOG for a while because I'm really pretty clueless about its direction right now. I hope it gets a pop Monday, and I think it will, but you never know.

    • I realize this is obvious, but we will all know the maximum upside reaction by 8:31AM on Monday EST. In fact, if you can bother to stay up, Bloomberg will show you where Goog is trading in Europe. As we've all seen countless times, Google usually hits its peak or trough on news almost instantaneously, with very little subsequent movement for the day. Therefore, I highly recommend you sell before 9:30 AM on Monday if you feel this is a temporary boost to Goog. Conversely, I will probably hold on and then layer in another short at around $350 per share. Best of luck to you!

    • daffy, if you're not a paid pumper or a prostitute I'll kiss your ass!!

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539.95-0.12(-0.02%)Jan 23 4:00 PMEST

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