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  • whyiloveamerica whyiloveamerica Nov 13, 2006 2:02 PM Flag

    Nov 470s

    Must say that the Nov 470s for 9.80 are looking pretty appealing. I'm thinking that the market will continue to rally this week and that GOOG might make a strong run to 490 out of nowhere. We've been toying in this tight range for long enough, I believe.

    GOOG is such a weird stock. New products + news doesn't move it. Only earnings get it moving north, while even small potential negatives make it drop like a knife.

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    • I would go with a little less than $10.00 more @ $19.20 and buy Dec $470's if that is what you want to speculate. If your speculation fails, then this position is a complete loser.

      To break even GOOG will need to be at $480.00 by the end of the week. If it ends at $470.00, the Nov. contracts are zero.

      With a finish at $470.00 the Dec contracts will probably be in the mid to high $17.00.

      With a finish at $480.00, the Dec contracts are most likely going to be worth one to two dollars shy of $25.00.

      With a finish of $490.00 the Dec contracts are likely to be in the low $30.00's.

      I would actually not gamble with either.....But definately not the Nov. $470.00. So many ways to fail and so few to succeed. If you play Dec., you probably want to close at the end of the week.

      Good luck

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