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Google Inc. Message Board

  • housedoctor66 housedoctor66 Dec 17, 2012 11:28 AM Flag

    GOOG a perfect short right here

    Which is why, at least in the near term, I'd consider Google a short.

    Here's why:

    Motorola isn't going away: Hardware will continue to negatively impact upon Google's margins for some time, no matter what it does.
    Patents: The cost to Google for battling over patents is only going to increase.
    The Tax Man Cometh: When Eric Schmidt tells The Daily Mail that Google's low tax bills are "capitalism," he's waving a red flag at a bull. Or a lot of bulls. Governments are going to start putting on the squeeze through new laws. They need the money and Google looks like a good place to get it.
    Global Governments: Taxes aren't the only reason for Google to fear governments. The failure of the International Telecommunications Union to agree on a treaty governing the Internet this week, reported by CNET, doesn't end the matter. Autocrats are determined to control their local Internets, they have the technology, and this limits Google's ability to expand, as Bloomberg noted regarding China.
    There will be competition: Yahoo is on the comeback trail, Microsoft's Bing isn't giving up, and markets that are closed to Google, such as China, are developing strong Internet companies with an itch to expand. There remain a lot of people who hate Google, who consider it evil for various reasons, and who are either looking for alternatives or looking to take it down in more nefarious ways.
    There are some reasons for caution on this call. A deal with the Federal Trade Commission on patents may be coming, 4Traders notes. That could provide lift, even though no deal is in sight on the trickier questions of its search dominance, with Google insisting it wants no consent decree and FTC lawyers anxious to file a Microsoft-style lawsuit.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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