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iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN Message Board

  • grad32376 grad32376 Jun 8, 2012 1:06 PM Flag

    Here comes Rally #4!

    Rally #1: March 2009 to April 2010 (13 months duration), DOW 6,500 to DOW 11,200 (4,700 points).

    Rally #2: August 2010 to July 2011 (11 months duration), DOW 9,700 to DOW 12,800 (3,100 points).

    Rally #3: October 2011 to May 2012 (7 months duration), DOW 10,400 to DOW 13,300 (2,900 points).

    Rally #4: June 2012 to ????, DOW 12,000 to ????

    It's setting up for a 2,000-point Rally in about 4 to 5 months duration, should send DOW to 14,000 give or take!

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    • Along with DOW 14,000, the SPX should top-out near 1,500. The market indicies should make a "lower high" vs. the high we saw in October 2007. The SPX is the best indicator and it should NOT exceed its all-time high of 1,576, not even close. Once the market establishes a lower high for this cycle, then a lower low should follow. In March 2009, DOW's previous low was 6,500 and SPX's previous low was 666. So, expect something like DOW 5,000 and SPX 500 in a few years.

    • I've respected your posts, but this call for rally to start in June loses all credibility. Either you will lose credibility or Bernanke and the FED will lose credibility?

      I would rather see you lose credibility in this case!!

      • 1 Reply to papadop007
      • I as well was counting on a June Rally. I believe it has begun. Since January we seem to be playing a monthly reset on markets. Every month on the 2nd of the month we begin our trend for the month - very wierd. It turns on a dime from the 30th to the 1st. Things are, until they are not.

        What did you really want them to say on television - "We are going to print money and give everybody some - all will prosper and we will make sure things only go up."

        Instead you get:

        Greece could leave, Germany could leave, things are unsustainable, Financial Services hearings, headlines of unsolvable problems, fear mongering, etc, etc. They have to make things look legitimate or you will think markets are rigged and confidence falls apart. The pageantry and brinksmanship provide for nail biting anticipation and then a sigh of relief. That alone is worth more than all the money printing on the planet - and then they print the money.

        Hehe. Another good book is "The Shock Doctrine." It will help you understand why World events are portrayed in the way that they are.

    • With QE ending at end of month
      I don't think so?

      If Greece stays in? that will help

      If Spain get's a bailout soon? your chances are much better.

      If more QE twist happens? you might be right

      if none of the above happens then the fishing line off the curved fishing rod goes straight down to the hook.


      • 1 Reply to trycure2
      • in order for the stock market to rally another 10% or 20%, the "world economies need to grow. that just is not happening right now. political gov't wants to see people suffer a little longer.

        america is living on fake uncle-ben-me-over cash. their is nothing supporting this raise in paper money, even gold, can't hold the current levels.

        in the great depression of 1929, a relapse happened 3 to 5 years after the first implosion. the same is happening, here, right now.

    • I have been cheerleading for DOW 18,000 in the next 18 months. It is all in the cards and ready to blow. It is so easy to see I feel bad for all the people that are going to miss out again or worse, be short!

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