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How could anyone say that is beyond me!
Minimal? 80,000 barrels of poison into the Gulf each and every day with NO END IN SIGHT.. It is minimal
You need to ask yourself why he would make such a statement.
You don't get to his level in BP without being diplomatic. He is fully aware that he is in the middle of a PR nightmare and he will no doubt have advisors who would tell him how inflammatory such a statement could seem. Whatever you think of him and the company, they're not stupid. So why make such an optimistic statement that is a massive hostage to fortune?
He has access to accurate unspun information (and far more of it)than any of us and he is surrounded by scientists (no doubt experts in many fields) who are providing objective reasoned projections as to how this could turn out.
If it was going to be as bad as so many here are forecasting he would have chosen very different language - far more cautious and less potentially inflammatory. Just have a think about the choice of words and why he didn't say for example "Yes, the enviromental picture is worrying but we are confident that it won't be as bad as many people fear."
I can only conclude that he has good reason to believe what he has said.
I think it would be prudent to pause and reflect on why he has made, what seems from your perspective to be, such a basic Public Relations blunder.
You are completely brainwashed. No wander this tragedy has occurred. Even when you are facing the nightmare of this well running amok you stiill profess your total trust in your leaders.
So--that is why it has happened. When the boss utters complete idiocy--the BP guys bow their head and say :Yes, yes.
The well pressures came erratic and the BP manager orders: go full speed ahead--the workers obey --straight into their oblivion.
You are in midst of the disaster -- a month has passed--and you see this as a reason to glorify your managers?
Have you considered that the fact that you are in this situation is a proof that you are ruled by the idiots?
Maybe I missed it but i seemed to have read "moderate" not the 'minimal' you (et al) are claiming. Meanwhile you use a rate even you admit you pulled out of your butt. Then you claim ther is no end in sight, when every day the chances of stopping and/or reducing flow increase.
Will the siphon get it all? Nope, but it also isn't maxed or optimized yet. My understanding is the uppper limit on the siphon is little less than 25 mbpd. Let's assume the leak is or becomes 25 mbpd at that point (we'll cover the BOP leak in a minute). Let's assumed when optimized the mix is 80% oil and 20% crude (nat gas takes car of itself at the flare). If true, they will be getting 80% of the oil. That isn't perfect but better than you could do.
As to the leak at/near the BOP. BP has developed at least one means to attempt to stop it (at which point the siphon is no longer needed either.) Is it a long shot? They say so, but neither you or I really know. Are they moving 'slow'? Sure, slower than we want. But they also know that if they screw up, they could make things much worse. They are doing/attempting things never done or likely even considered. But they are getting better with each step to the ultimate end (of the leak but not the event).
Even if the above fail, the relief wells will (at least eventually) work. And I bet they are both 'done' (if both wind up necessary) be done well under the initial 3 month estimate.
"Meanwhile you use a rate even you admit you pulled out of your butt."
I did say that, didn't I? Should I have put right next to it a disclaimer saying "SARCASM" to make sure that you would get it?
I did provide the link didn't I? The leak is MORE than 70,000 barrels. SIGNIFICANTLY more. So I made up a number closer to already established 70,000.
YOu on the other end are too busy going by BP's self serving estimates of the amount of the leak.
"Under 3 months"? And you are OK with that... You must really hate the beaches, fishing, eating fish, wildlife, coral reefs, and the Tropics.