With RIG settlement and accepting a guilty plea without gross negligence being mentioned, I expect an out of court agrrement in the range of $4 to $6b. Frankly, even if it is double these figures, BP can afford it and there will be huge upside for this company. This company 10 point plan will deliver $35 to $40b/pa in casshflow satring in 2014. With Macondo behind BP, I expect BP to trade in the $60's before end of 2013.
As a BP employee i am following this closely.
The Maximum clean water act fine that is yet to be settled is about $18 billion.
In reality it will be not nearly that for several reasons. One of which is BP is now negotiating a plea deal.
That is BP pleads gulity in Feb 2013 and pays less than the Max. fine amount.