I never said anything about the next two days, two weeks, or even two months. I'm trying to address a longer-term issue. In the short run, anything can happen and frequently does. Good decisions sometimes have bad results, bad decisions sometimes have good results.
It's not a question of whether or not some people have made some money betting that Staples will become even more over-valued. It's not a question of what MIGHT POSSIBLY happen. It's a question of what PROBABLY WILL happen. That's the best that anybody can do, regardless what they claim.
Only an fool would try to predict the absolute peak or the absolute trough. Only a fool would invest in a retail stock with a PE of 60.