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Horizon Pharma plc Message Board

  • postbusters postbusters Nov 15, 2013 7:34 PM Flag

    Things They are A Changing (for the better)

    Wow - just looked at the Yahoo estimates and the high for 2014 is now 33 cent gain (vice a 1 cent loss), with all averages, etc. going up. NPV Enterprise value is listed at $307M (which includes debt and is supposedly a measure of the company's takeover worth), above current market cap.

    Since the high estimate for 2014 earnings is only $192M, and I project we will beat that just based on Duexis sales alone - look out share price over the next year as things improve. Consider that with Duexis covering expenses, almost all of the Rayos net goes to the bottom line. Even at the current run rate, we would gain at least 7 cents a share on Rayos sales (likely much more), which translates to $2.10/share based on 30x earnings model the analysts are using (e.g. $10 share value based on $.33 earning).

    My $20/share prediction by end of 2014 is looking pretty good right now (although things could always change for better or worse along the way).

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