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Alliance One International, Inc. Message Board

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  • peristentone peristentone Jul 16, 2009 7:59 PM Flag

    Analysis of UVV and AOI

    Do you have an opinion on what kind of return on equity AOI can turn in for the next few years? Yahoo shows 49% ROE last year, and that is obviously not sustainable.

    My own guess using UVV's ROE was that AOI might turn in a 10% to 12% ROE. Given they trade near book value, that might be okay for a recession-resistent stock, but clearly it's hard to make a case for a huge win.

    If you had to guess would you think that either of these companies will have any problems paying back existing debt at maturity? Do you foresee either of them having any needs for substantial additional debt financing?

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