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Dawson Geophysical Company Message Board

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  • lemonyelow1 lemonyelow1 Nov 1, 2005 6:40 AM Flag

    Earnings Guess

    Thanks for your info.

    Couple of things, NOT definitive by any means, hence not "insider" stuff:

    1) The fellow who mentioned the M.F. rec. may have been "spot on" -- something in the last few days. However, when I googled the obvious things, it turned up that M.F. rec'd this stock back in 97 or 98. Point is that this is an excellent little company that somehow (hardly matters) has stayed both small and independent, seemingly against the odds. Several of the mutual funds that own it are "cousins" (methodologically) of M.F., not surprisingly, but that adds to my befuddlement at its seemingly bargain status. (I doubt that it will stay a bargain much longer -- it's my biggest holding, which isn't why it should go up -- its #s are why it's my biggest holding.)

    2) I think Advest rec'd it after both hurricanes. Some companies issued press releases quantifying the hurr's' impact -- to me, that buy rec. provided an even better clean bill of health. Common sense (on which I acted in a big way, apparently a little too early or a little too late) mandates that those very "ill winds" did somebody some good. Yeah, the oil majors had an embarrassingly good qtr, but amidst the billions in carnage, a handful of service operations (DWSN included, in my book, as must be obvious) are doing the "heavy lifting" in terms of (a) bringin' back stuff; (b) bringin' on replacement streams; and (c) taking advantage (in a good way) of the dislocation to initiate projects that had been on hold previously. Add in a Wash. "culture" (that's Reps. in charge of everything) that is as o&g-friendly as all get out and short of the Chinese saying "no more U.S. bonds," companies like DWSN shd have earnings akin to "gushers!"

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