According to gsDOTstatcounter there has been a big increase in Nokia sales in China since January, which is when the Lumias became available there. The rise is from about 1.5% to about 6.37%.
I know I have complained that GSstatcounter is no good - there is still no mention of Windows as a mobile operating system on many pages, for example - but the stats must represent something, and this coincides with what we would expect - i.e. that the appearance of Lumia phones and the deals with CM and the other operators, would lead to an increase in sales.
Stat counters figures are based in a few thousand people in areas that have millions. They are based on random hits on certain websites. For whatever reason you continuously want to dwell on a completely inaccurate poll in my opinion. It is useless. Get on the phone and call ten actual stores and play detective and you will have more information. Get a pretty girl to go into a store flirt with an employee and start asking questions. You can get ALL the information on sales, stock, etc.
that is how polls/statistics are compiled ..pollsveral thousand and get a broad base of stats to analyze....scientifically proven to be accurate with-in plus or minus 3%-4%...so if mexico for example shows a 40% increse then the actual number could be anywhere between 37% and 43%...but those figures are accurate....
Here's a question. For those of you who have been invested in Nokia for a while, how accurate was GStats for last quarter? I invested two days before Q4 earnings, so I wasn't around.
A couple of other notes; since statcounter's data are collected from internet hits they are based on phones in people's hands, not 'shipped' vs 'sold' phones.
Asia sales show Nokia phones declining until this quarter and actually increasing very slightly in March. If they are staying more or less the same in the last 3 months this likely means that Symbian sales, which will have fallen, will have been replaced with Lumia phones. Both of these points are evidence that the turnaround that Nokia has planned is taking place in the way they planned it.
When we look at mobile OSs in China we see Windows at only 0.5%. We also see Symbian rising from 1% to 5%. Neither of these makes sense. Symbian will not have suddenly sold lots and Windows will not have been flat at about 0.5% for the whole of the last year. I think gsStatcounter has counted Nokia Windows sales as Symbian sales.and so what we are seeing is a several fold increase in Nokia's share of the China market.
according to Kantar, Windows phone marketshare stats:
China (urban) 0.9%
I'm not sure whether GS statcounter is a great stat or not, but it does seem to jibe with the trends overall... such as RIM falling, Android growing rapidly etc.. But it shows Italy with 4.75%, when it is actually closer to 13% so the Windows stats seem to be understated by a fair amount.
If China picks up Windows I suspect it will be the low end phones. In 2012, Nokia had the 2nd highest average selling price next to Iphone. And they got crushed by the cheap android phones. I don't think we'll see whether Nokia will gain market in China till Q2-Q3 personally as that is when teh low priced phones will have had a chance.