matrix analytix nails Treasury move again
They called QE announcement and 2.5% on the 10-year last month
JULY 16, 2010
10:51AM EST
Bull Market In Treasuries To Continue As Markets Signaling Another Round Of Quantitative Easing
Long TLT once again $100.60s and will be adding to position on dips as it appears to me the market is pricing in yet another round of quantitative easing by the Fed...the recent weakness in the dollar has been rather dramatic as has strength in the Treasury market especially in light of our recent rally in equities and I believe it signals the Fed is set for yet another round of dollar printing which this time may be highly focused on the purchase of Treasuries at the long end of the yield curve in order to drive down long term interest rates even further...equities may get a very short-term pop from this however market participants are well aware that the first round of quantitative easing did little to invigorate the economy and there's no reason to think this round will be much different...market will likely quickly begin to view these measures as a desperate attempt to quell forthcoming strong deflationary pressures which the equity market has yet to fully price in...believe we could easily be looking at a 2.5% yield on the 10-Year, 3.25% Yield on the 30-Year sometime in the next 3-6 months
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