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First Solar, Inc. Message Board

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  • gruen7 gruen7 Feb 25, 2012 4:54 PM Flag

    I need info from bulls and bears please

    I suggest you watch a video on naked shorts.

    Shorting shares that do not even exist which after more and more clog the system, to push up a stock and get it to hold the advance is near impossible.Especially since the naked shorting is not always done to put a company out of business but many times it is. Sometimes it is just intended to get other longs to sell so they can pick up shares and pick them up cheaper then they would be able to without cheating.

    Now my prediction for you from someone that has watched fslr for the entire time its traded. I have made a bundle in a few solars, lost alot in jaso eslr garbage. Anyways tuesday when fslr earnings are not hot at all but an reason from them about how they have much more billing in the next quarter or two etc. It will go down to 28 in a hurry, at which point that will break and 26 will be the new low for 3 weeks or so. If 26 breaks 24 will hold.

    Now when this happens Sunpower will go back to 5 or 6 as they are losing money and already reported that fact.

    Now one thing that concerns me and that is that the market is getting so toppy, MA V AAPL GOOG PCLN, priceline really?

    That if a major correction which is overdue say for example dow down 180, naz down 100 or 120 then all bets are off, or oil drops ten or 15 dollars, then solar becomes much more dangerous and hold at your own risk. If smart money wants fslr, they will buy wed for 6 or 7 dollars cheaper.Maybe 9 or 10 if earnings real bad, high write downs like in the past etc.

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    • d1synerget... There are a lot of solar investors who invest based on that fact they like solar...period. So take a look at the exact opposite, say fossil fuels and compare. One can wish and hope for solar, even put panels on his or her home or business like I just did, but invest? Panels are getting much cheaper to buy which is good for me putting them on my coffee shop, but I would hate to be a manufacturer. (for the record, the monthly cost on the 10-year note for the panels is less than the monthly savings, so they were free)

      So lets look at Kinder Morgan Partners (KMP) vs FSLR last six months. Don't forget, KMP also offers a huge dividend and always has. Now over 5% even after the huge runup.

    • lol...good luck trying to cover shorty...i bought in big friday, you seem desperate, and you will be when this thing spikes back to 45 if not, could you be more transparent ?

      • 1 Reply to asylumcya
      • Just my cents but I think now is not the time to be either heavily sided with the bulls or with the bears for this stock. Obviously at the start of the downturn in the stock price when it was way over $100 it was correct to be more of a bear but now at $35 I dont think it is wise to remain a bear, but I also would not fully side with the bulls on the company story. Obviously the solar industry is a total train wreck and it will take a long long time to recover, if ever.
        BUT while everyone is calling for the end of days for all solar companies and FSLR I think it is wise to remember that there are still some positives for the company developing.
        "they cannot compete".. well
        think about the fact that with the industry in the toilet many many solar companies are going to kick the bucket and go under SO that means competition for FSLR will be lighter than before so more contracts will go to them and not others, no one seems to talk about that point. Granted, all of that assumes you dont think FSLR is going to go under itself.

        Also even though subsidies have been cut and are getting cut, the industry and hopefully the investors have known about this or at least that it was coming for months so I think it should be priced in by now, especially after a more than 75% drop in the share price.
        Plus governments all over the world are looking to alternative energy and a way to get them away from relying on oil. This will help FSLR in the long run.

        FSLR obviously has its work cut out for them and the recent drop and earnings have not done them any favors as regards investor sentiment so the share price has plummeted but eventually, I would think at some share price value investors and bottom feeders would begin positioning themselves in the stock SO I cant be a bear.
        I think right now being a bear with it over $50 is wise but being a bull under $30 is wise. I think it will trade in that range for the next few months, just my opinion.

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