See the Great Clock
Average ytd-range from 2002 to 2012 is, 2,594.91 points for $DJI.
Its($DJI) 2011 range was 2,471.71 points. 2012 range 1626.71, some 968 points below
average with the year end culmination of the fiscal cliff.
One may argue if the "fiscal cliff" was a plane to land before yr end, then there
is no runway left.
Using current print, last close(13096.31), one then add & subtract the average range.
This gives us the fol(current) 2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of
15691.22(10501.4)
By May 20th,, 21, 22nd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 15542.4 thus far, widening
ytd range to 2438.1, raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 14323.35(& 7785.44)resp
Topside fig printed as well as exceeded the week of 5/5/12.
Tightest model on the planet...
Tightest model on the planet....
$DJI a mere 2 points less than the average yearly range from 1989 to current.
What are you E[X]-pecting?..
4)April 1st, 2nd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14684.49 thus far, widening ytd range to 1580.19
raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13894.39(& 7356.48) resp.
Closing the week 14565.25
By April 11th more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14887.51 thus far, widening ytd range to 1783.21,
raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13995.9(& 7457.995) resp.
Closing the week...
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,527.27 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15631.57(12360.24)
Tightest model on the planet...
March 12th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14478.8 thus far, raising ytd (& alltime)
E[X] to 13791.55 & 7253.64 resp.
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,493.21 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15597.51(11985.59)
What are you E[X]-pecting?
March 12th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14478.8 thus far, raising ytd (& alltime)
E[X] to 13791.55 & 7253.64 resp.
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,493.21 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15597.51(11985.59)
Where are your fig(s)
3) March, 3/1/12 the close 14089.66.
By 3/8/12 a sequence of ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14413.17 thus far, raising
ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 1375.73 & 7220.82 resp.
Closing the week@ 14397.07
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,487.74 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15592.04(11925.43)
Where are your fig(s)?
Do they print?
2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
closing the week 14009.79.
More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635,
closing the week Feb 8th @13992.97.
Feb 15th closing the week 13981.76 More ytd highs on $DJI ,raising ytd E[X].
Closing the week 2/22/12 @14000.57.
More ytd highs on $DJI 14149.15 thus far, raising ytd E[X] = 13626.725
Closing the month 14054.49
3) March, 3/1/12 the close 14089.66.
By 3/8/12 a sequence of ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14354.69 thus far raising
ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13729.49 & 7191.58 resp.
Closing the week@...
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,482.87 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points. Using current ytd low & high, one then
add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range. This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15587.17(11871.82)
March 11th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14448.06 thus far,
raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13776.18 & 7238.27 resp.
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,490.65 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15594.95(11957.41)
Tightest model on the planet!
At Napatanpics we continue with, the expected...p = 1/2 random walk model,
E[X] half-way the range thus far, over some specified interval(ytd), the
price/current print X of some instrument(DJI), asset, security...etc
1) Jan, 13104.3/13435.21 the low/high thus far. E[X] = 13269.75;
closing the 1st wk for $DJI@ 13435.21. By Fri the 11th higher highs on $DJI raising
E[X] closing the 2nd week 13488.43. Jan 18 13648.85 ytd high thus far on $DJI ,
raising ytd E[X] , closing the week 13649.7 By Jan 25th more ytd highs 13895.98 ,
raising ytd E[X], closing the week at ytd high(thus far).
Closing the month@ 13860.58.
2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
closing the week 14009.79.
More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635, closing the week Feb 8th
@13992.97. Feb 15th closing the week 13981.76 More ytd highs on $DJI ,raising ytd E[X].
Closing the week 2/22/12 @14000.57.
More ytd highs on $DJI 14149.15 thus far, raising ytd E[X] = 13626.725
Closing the month 14054.49
3) March, Fri 1st the close 14089.66
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,465.74 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
This gives us the fol(current) 2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15570.04(11683.41)
Tightest model on the planet.
At Napatanpics we continue with, the expected...p = 1/2 random walk model,
E[X] half-way the range thus far, over some specified interval(ytd), the price/current
print X of some instrument(DJI), asset, security...etc
1) Jan, 13104.3/13435.21 the low/high thus far. E[X] = 13269.75; closing the
1st wk for $DJI@ 13435.21. By Fri the 11th higher highs on $DJI raising E[X]
closing the 2nd week 13488.43. Jan 18 13648.85 ytd high thus far on $DJI ,
raising ytd E[X] , closing the week 13649.7
By Jan 25th more ytd highs 13895.98 , raising ytd E[X], closing the week at ytd high(thus far).
Closing the month@ 13860.58.
2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
closing the week 14009.79.
More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635, closing the week
Feb 8th @13992.97. Feb 15th closing the week...
Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,456.56 points for $DJI.
Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the
average range. This gives us the fol(current)
2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15560.86(11582.41)
where are your fig(s)?