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  • napatanpics napatanpics Dec 28, 2012 8:25 AM Flag

    2013 Summary: $DJI/SPX

    See the Great Clock

    Average ytd-range from 2002 to 2012 is, 2,594.91 points for $DJI.

    Its($DJI) 2011 range was 2,471.71 points. 2012 range 1626.71, some 968 points below

    average with the year end culmination of the fiscal cliff.

    One may argue if the "fiscal cliff" was a plane to land before yr end, then there
    is no runway left.

    Using current print, last close(13096.31), one then add & subtract the average range.

    This gives us the fol(current) 2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of

    15691.22(10501.4)

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • By May 20th,, 21, 22nd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 15542.4 thus far, widening

      ytd range to 2438.1, raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 14323.35(& 7785.44)resp

      Topside fig printed as well as exceeded the week of 5/5/12.

      Tightest model on the planet...

    • Tightest model on the planet....

      $DJI a mere 2 points less than the average yearly range from 1989 to current.

    • What are you E[X]-pecting?..

    • 4)April 1st, 2nd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14684.49 thus far, widening ytd range to 1580.19

      raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13894.39(& 7356.48) resp.

      Closing the week 14565.25

      By April 11th more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14887.51 thus far, widening ytd range to 1783.21,

      raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13995.9(& 7457.995) resp.

      Closing the week...

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,527.27 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

      This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15631.57(12360.24)

      Tightest model on the planet...

    • March 12th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14478.8 thus far, raising ytd (& alltime)

      E[X] to 13791.55 & 7253.64 resp.

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,493.21 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

      This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15597.51(11985.59)

      What are you E[X]-pecting?

    • March 12th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14478.8 thus far, raising ytd (& alltime)

      E[X] to 13791.55 & 7253.64 resp.

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,493.21 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.
      This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15597.51(11985.59)

      Where are your fig(s)

    • 3) March, 3/1/12 the close 14089.66.

      By 3/8/12 a sequence of ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14413.17 thus far, raising
      ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 1375.73 & 7220.82 resp.

      Closing the week@ 14397.07

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,487.74 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

      This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15592.04(11925.43)

      Where are your fig(s)?

      Do they print?

    • 2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
      closing the week 14009.79.

      More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635,
      closing the week Feb 8th @13992.97.

      Feb 15th closing the week 13981.76 More ytd highs on $DJI ,raising ytd E[X].

      Closing the week 2/22/12 @14000.57.

      More ytd highs on $DJI 14149.15 thus far, raising ytd E[X] = 13626.725

      Closing the month 14054.49

      3) March, 3/1/12 the close 14089.66.

      By 3/8/12 a sequence of ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14354.69 thus far raising
      ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13729.49 & 7191.58 resp.

      Closing the week@...

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,482.87 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points. Using current ytd low & high, one then

      add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range. This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15587.17(11871.82)

      • 1 Reply to napatanpics
      • March 11th, more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14448.06 thus far,

        raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13776.18 & 7238.27 resp.

        Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,490.65 points for $DJI.

        Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

        Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

        This gives us the fol(current)

        2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15594.95(11957.41)

        Tightest model on the planet!

    • At Napatanpics we continue with, the expected...p = 1/2 random walk model,
      E[X] half-way the range thus far, over some specified interval(ytd), the
      price/current print X of some instrument(DJI), asset, security...etc

      1) Jan, 13104.3/13435.21 the low/high thus far. E[X] = 13269.75;

      closing the 1st wk for $DJI@ 13435.21. By Fri the 11th higher highs on $DJI raising

      E[X] closing the 2nd week 13488.43. Jan 18 13648.85 ytd high thus far on $DJI ,

      raising ytd E[X] , closing the week 13649.7 By Jan 25th more ytd highs 13895.98 ,

      raising ytd E[X], closing the week at ytd high(thus far).

      Closing the month@ 13860.58.

      2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
      closing the week 14009.79.

      More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635, closing the week Feb 8th

      @13992.97. Feb 15th closing the week 13981.76 More ytd highs on $DJI ,raising ytd E[X].

      Closing the week 2/22/12 @14000.57.

      More ytd highs on $DJI 14149.15 thus far, raising ytd E[X] = 13626.725

      Closing the month 14054.49

      3) March, Fri 1st the close 14089.66

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,465.74 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

      This gives us the fol(current) 2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15570.04(11683.41)

      Tightest model on the planet.

    • At Napatanpics we continue with, the expected...p = 1/2 random walk model,
      E[X] half-way the range thus far, over some specified interval(ytd), the price/current
      print X of some instrument(DJI), asset, security...etc

      1) Jan, 13104.3/13435.21 the low/high thus far. E[X] = 13269.75; closing the
      1st wk for $DJI@ 13435.21. By Fri the 11th higher highs on $DJI raising E[X]
      closing the 2nd week 13488.43. Jan 18 13648.85 ytd high thus far on $DJI ,
      raising ytd E[X] , closing the week 13649.7

      By Jan 25th more ytd highs 13895.98 , raising ytd E[X], closing the week at ytd high(thus far).
      Closing the month@ 13860.58.

      2) Feb 1st, more ytd highs on $DJI 14019.78 raising ytd E[X] = 13562.04,
      closing the week 14009.79.
      More ytd highs on $DJI 14038.97 raising ytd E[X] = 13571.635, closing the week
      Feb 8th @13992.97. Feb 15th closing the week...

      Average ytd-range from 2002 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 2,456.56 points for $DJI.
      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.
      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the
      average range. This gives us the fol(current)
      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15560.86(11582.41)

      where are your fig(s)?

 
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