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First Solar, Inc. Message Board

  • napatanpics napatanpics May 4, 2013 9:35 AM Flag

    2013 Summary: $DJI/SPX

    5) May, On the 3rd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14887.51 thus far,

    widening ytd range to 1905.29, raising ytd (& alltime) E[X]

    to 14056.94(& 7519.03)resp.

    Closing the week 14973.96.

    Average ytd-range from 1989 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 1,952.15 points
    for $DJI.

    Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points resp
    .
    Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high)

    the average range.

    This gives us the fol(current)

    2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15056.45(13057.44)

    A Tightening of the model.

    Even if $DJI fell 1000 points to E[X] 14056.94 it would be still above 14000.

    A fig few believed would print.

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    • 4)April 1st, 2nd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14684.49 thus far,

      widening ytd range to 1580.19 raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13894.39(& 7356.48) resp.

      Closing the week 14565.25

      By April 11th more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 14887.51 thus far, widening ytd range to 1783.21,

      raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 13995.9(& 7457.995) resp.

      Closing the week 14865.06(exceeding 2012 range!). 4/19/13 Closing another week 14547.51;

      4/26/13 another week to close 14712.55.

      Closing the month 14839.8...

      5) May, On the 3rd more ytd(& alltime) high(s) 18056.45 thus far, widening ytd range to 1905.29,

      raising ytd (& alltime) E[X] to 14056.94(& 7519.03)resp,

      Closing the week 14973.96.

      Average ytd-range from 1989 to(incld) this yr 2013 is, (current) 1,952.15 points for $DJI.

      Ranges for 11' & 12' were 2,471.71 & 1626.71 points.

      Using current ytd low & high, one then add(to ytd low) & subtract(from ytd high) the average range.

      This gives us the fol(current)

      2013 proj for $DJI is the upside(downside)-risk of 15056.45(13057.44)

      Tightest model on the planet...

 
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