The DOW isn't the best indicator of this stock's performance. For instance today the DOW is down and we are up 1.3%. If the S&P500 (which we are a member of) reaches 1625 to 1650 by the end of this year, we should be even higher than your $14.25 target.
Hopefully with the buyback program, we will soon be trading above the current Book value! Even at Book, this stock would still yield a 4 1/4% dividend.