It's quite simple really, it's impossibe for you to be right about SNTA so I think it's impossible for your dire predictions of the deathcross taking us into the low 3's. Hence my conculsion is predicated on your poor trading record. That's better than any metric out there. You lost money on both the long and short trades last year of SNTA. I think Liz can confirm. Hi hi.
The short term pop could be because of ASCO but the real catalyst will be the phase 2 results coming out soon. The same thing with a partnership...snta will get a short term pop. Lot of upside here...lose 80% or make a double? This is a lotto stock...if you do not play the lottery then you shouldn't gamble with snta. I acutally used call options (stock substitute only) instead of buying shares to lower my risk. Tech may tell you this company is worth 100 Billion while Hail may tell you this company may only be worth the change in your pocket. Good luck.