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Synta Pharmaceuticals Corp. Message Board

  • jfk123_1 jfk123_1 Oct 2, 2013 2:28 PM Flag

    My prorietary indicator has never failed. Win again.

    Was a bit strange that they decided to test 6.26 another three times this morning though. But the indicator was correct 5% within 4 trading hours of the green signal. The indicator represents a 20% move at a minimum.

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    • NOT BASHING! Just wanted to indicate that your indicator could still have significant value. I realized when I posted the valuations that ALL indicators WILL be WRONG on occasion. However, the ones that have value are the ones that correctly predict a move in stock price a high percentage of time.

      Obviously,
      - the higher the percentage of accurate predictions, the more value
      - the higher the correlation between the $ or % move predicted and the actual move, the more value
      - the higher percentage of stocks/industries that the indicator applies to, the more value
      - the higher the average number of "action" signals per month, the more value

      I am always looking for good investment tools, and have contacts that are looking to buy them. I still have an interest in your indicator even though it obviously has had its first "failure" with regard to SNTA. However, I don't know the track record. Is that the first WRONG indication out of 10, 25, 50 signals? Could still have significant value depending on actual results.

      [DISCLAIMER: I've noticed that your posts recently have leaned heavily toward "chartists" theories. If your indicator is based on chartists philosophies, then I wouldn't have any interest.]

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • jfk,
      I have a serious interest in marketing your proprietary indicator. Depending on the sample size you have as verifiable experiences, I am pretty sure the values listed below would be reasonable accurate. I am willing to sign any Confidentiality/Nondisclosure Agreement you deem necessary should this progress to serious discussions.

      As I have said MANY times. I read what you post and some of it has great value to investors. I have no doubt that your technical analysis is sound (when it doesn't entirely rely on triangles, circles, barriers, etc.). If your proprietary indicator is largely based on fundamentals and your claim is valid, then you are about to become a VERY wealthy investor.

      Assumptions:
      * The indicator has, in reality, NEVER been wrong.
      * There is a measurable time frame (can vary within reason) that predicted results (you stated +20%) are achieved.
      * There is no more than a 7.5% price drop once the indicator signals "buy" (afterall, no method can exactly predict the bottom.
      * It is applicable to all industries (with few exceptions - e.g. utilities, high dividend stocks, etc.).
      * Your willingness to demonstrate the indicator through 3 or 4 stock selections.

      Valuation (based on # of verifiable experiences):
      5 - 9 = $5,000 (I wouldn't recommend letting your proprietary information go at this level).
      10 - 15 = $50,000
      15 - 30 = $250,000
      30 - 50 = $1,000,000
      50 - 100 = $10,000,000 **
      100+ = $50,000,000 **

      ** At these levels you would likely be able to make multiple times more by licensing the indicator to various investment groups. I'm not a technology expert, but I would imagine this would entail hosting the proprietary software on a protected site and selling monthly or per recommendation access.

      As I said, I am willing to sign any C&N Agreement you want. In fact, I don't even need to be privy to the proprietary information, but a buyer/investor would be. I will set up the deal for 10% of the value of the contract.

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • JFK is the king of TA. Nuff Said.

    • yummy jfk!!!

    • Mine says 10-12 fast

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

      • 1 Reply to frankyassissi
      • I agree....a quick run up to $10 (within the next month) is definitely possible. A close just over $12 by years end is also very possible. If a huge squeeze does occur...with such a small float....we could be over $15 by years end. I think that SNTA will do great for the rest of this year and in 2014 we will be in double digits and possibly double the year end price.

        The HDC platform is going to carry this stock to very high valuations and this intellectual property that SNTA is sitting on has not been digested and factored into the current price per share. We have some big room to move up....good luck to all longs.

        Sentiment: Strong Buy

 
SNTA
0.2602-0.0080(-2.98%)Jun 30 4:00 PMEDT