Great company, but the stock is overvalued. Some thoughts...
Hi!!.O_０~ Nintendo is said and it has been frequently said that Nintendo is the highest value now from 6000 to today's around 60000~70000 yen in Japanese yen. Nintendo has exceeded it in every case. The past will not limit that it is so in the future because it was so. However, Nintendo will think that they expand the market to the United States, Britain, and foreign countries further like having made this bulletin board the United States in the future. Additionally, Nintendo thinks that I come in succession with the stock prices transition of Apple. I want to gaze to the stock prices trend of Apple. In Japan, sales of the tax-reduction strategy are peaks this week. It was thought the low price of saying of yesterday, and the purchase increase was 62,200 or less.
The following are the Nintendo peak out theories.
As for wii of Nintendo, when the number of sales of the type of domestic leaving untouched game in the Japan-U.S.-Euro market that Entarbran, U.S. NPD, and Germany GfK brought together respectively was added up, the total from the sale in November, 2006 to the end of July (Japan is the end of August) became 9.02 million. It pulled apart, and it stood from 3.7 million PlayStation 3 of Sony in the top world 8.8 million Xbox360 of Microsoft Corporation.
In cumulative shipments of a current type of domestic leaving untouched game machine, 118 million PlayStation 2 of the sale in 2000 the highest records. At present, wii is a pace more than this.
"Tend the rise of the earnings expansion room for hard software a person by coming here and having prolonged the game machine machine cycle" of the analyst of a foreign bond is an achievement of Nintendo when the future.
This company must sales from 1.14 trillion yen (18% increase compared with the first term) to 1.4 trillion yen of the expectation (45% increase) about connected achievement at the period on March, 2008 so far on July 25 and the operating profit from 270 billion yen (19% increase compared with the first term) to 370 billion yen of the expectation (64% increase compared with the first term) so far, the gross profit to 410 billion yen (42% increase) greatly announced upward revisions from 175 billion yen of the expectation in the past (0.4% increase compared with the first term) respectively for 245 billion yen (45% increase) from a past 290 billion yen (0.4% increase compared with the first term) current profit.
The dividend was clarified during year of the period on March, 2008, and moreover, the increased dividend of 960 yen and 260 yen was matched and clarified from a past 700 yen.
Gone expansion of such an achievement supported by sales good is evaluated and stock prices also have renewed Kitacane of listed again. However, the anxiety concerning the future of stock prices then ..partially the encounter of parties concerned it.. has risen, too.
When connected achievement at the period on March, 2008 changes in July, the assumption exchange rate is changed from 1 dollar =115 yen to 118 yen of the situation to date and it ..".. changes from the person related to the market from 1 Euro =150 yen to 155 yen. At present, the current state is a transition in the appreciation of the yen level it compared with assumption, and if the appreciation of the yen of one step will advance in the future, will be feared the generation of exchange losses about the dollar about Euro though changes still in the depreciation of the yen level compared with assumption and there is Norishiro.
�@The stock prices transition of past Nintendo from the Christmas vicinity to the new year was considered beginning to think. It changes to the rise before Christmas, and the probability of going up is high at the new year though the conclusion is a short-term stock prices transition. History repeats itself.
�@In�@2000�CThe probability is high though it is not possible never to say. The low price 16270 yen was changed to the rise in the bottom on Thursday, December 21, and well, it was 17,710 yen for the opening for end of the holiday week, December 25, and the high price on the same day was 18,200 yen . It rose to 19,300 yen on January 5, 2001. It was a high price 22,000 yen, and 23500 yen in January, 2002 in the new year on the low price 21,700 yen 2001 year on 21 Friday December and December 25.
In�@2002,the low price 11070 yen on December 18 is rising converted to the bottom i. 12000 yen on December 26. 11890 yen was applied on January 7 in the new year 2003.
2003 is exceptional somewhat, and the low price is 9250 yen on December 12 and December 18 is 9670 yen. It was a high price 10350 yen January 5, 2004.
In�@2006�@last�@year, December 25 December (the low price 29,560 yen on the 22nd and the rest dawning) rose up to 30�D200 yen though it was assumed , because of the number of characters, and the beginning value on January 4, 2007 in the new year was 30900 yen, and 31,150 yen. The hedge from the closing of accounts measures and the investment trust bank thinks at the end of the year and the main cause and I think becoming even of 20 day of December fee cheapness, and the return in the bottom around of that to original rising wave motion.
�@It is movement above caused by short-term to the end supply and demand at about Christmas. When it holds, and I make it to cheapness by the supply and demand factor, I am a purchase increase because I think the fundamental of Nintendo to be excellent.
The reason to have paid attention to Nintendo in 1980's is that it was interested in the semiconductor.
I want to consider BB RATIO of the semiconductor and the stock prices transition of Nintendo at the next chance.