No clue where this will be trading in a year but as far as this report it was well known before hand. The U being in stock all over at x-mas was a clue with signs in windows saying IN STOCK. Ebay auctions selling for less than retail price in Dec was another (these never happened for the Wii). Thing with video game stocks be it EA, NTDOY, GME ect ect these have been pretty darn easy to trade with few surprises for me. Simple fact is there are huge online forums and sites for gamers (not investors) to help judge hype and sales long before earnings are released. Having traded game stock for years as I was a gamer at one point myself I can tell you the hype for the Wii was HUGE before release and was nonexistent for the U. Want to judge where Nin its going? GDC in march and E3 in June might hold some clues but you cant get that info here. Need to go to the gamer sites and then shift through the BS because there is a ton. If Nintendo said they were going to stop making games and start making pet rocks it will get pumped on this site as a cost saving move. Keep an eye on NPD and MC sales #s also as if they tank then meeting these even lower #s will be tough then again if they are better than expected then an uptrend could come.
Oh ok that pretty much makes sense I guess I thought that even though the number were lower for the U that the higher price point would make up for it but i should have done more work on it obviously,,,,what do you mean NPD and MC sales?