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Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Message Board

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  • tomcwright tomcwright Sep 4, 2012 4:16 PM Flag

    Downside to 79 ?

    110% of BV was $78.71 on 6/30/12.It is much higher than that now,my estimate is $82 to $82.50/share.

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    • Why? How can BV go up so much so fast. S&P500 and BRK portfolio is likely up only 2% from Q2 end to current. 2% gain on 72Billion is 1.4Billion gain (pre-tax). Likely BRK generated 2Billion in profits in the 2 months. Japan and Eurpoe index derivative puts are likely flat. So one can expect BV up net of taxes by about 2 to 3 Billion. With 1.65Million shares outstanding Likely up $1500 on the A shares or $1 on the B-shares. So 110% BV likely is at $79.71 mark to market. I think 82 and 85.50 is overly optimistic. That said who knows where markets will be end of the month? BV can decrease also as it has happened many times

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