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Yahoo! Inc. Message Board

  • sep122 sep122 Apr 17, 2014 7:09 PM Flag

    See if it make sense Min valuation $ 150 billion today

    At 27times earnings based on last quarter of 1.35 billion (1.35*4*28)=$151 billion

    Sentiment: Buy

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    • What is 24% of a corrupt chinese company worth?Maybe 10 cents on the dollar of the supposedly face value.

    • That's not how the big boys (wallstreet) do it. They don't just take the last quarter earnings and multiply it by 4. They take the last 12 months, which in this case is $3.57 Billion x 27 PE or $96 billion. OR they take the last twelve month as a base and project forward earnings then multiply by the PE. OR they use Price to Sales Ratio. Or they use X x Ebitda. Good luck figuring it out. Though I have opined on what the valuation will be and at what price the IPO and how many shares will be sold. Just look at my posts.

      Dont forget to consult with GOD (coldunce, of course).

      • 2 Replies to stoxtxholdem1
      • Amazon, and others are trading at astronomical P/E ratios . at 27 P/E ratio for ABABA that is extremely low.

      • hotmodelisfckntiredofcreatingids hotmodelisfckntiredofcreatingids Apr 18, 2014 9:23 AM Flag

        LOL Who cares what Wall St. is doing and that obviously wasn't the point sep122 was making. To him its worth a minimum $151B, I'll use a 100PE, so yep AG is clearly worth $540B! Obviously, I'm right but you and I both know opinions are WORTHLESS as everyone has one and that is my point. That being said the consensus has it at $168B in the latest Bloomberg article:

        Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s estimated valuation rose 9.8 percent ahead of a potential initial public offering after China’s biggest e-commerce company posted record sales and earnings.

        The company is valued at $168 billion, based on the average estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. That compares with the $153 billion average of 10 estimates in February. Alibaba this week reported profit more than doubled to $1.35 billion in the three months ended December, as revenue surged 66 percent to $3.06 billion. Alibaba last month began the process for a U.S. initial public offering that may be larger than the $16 billion raised by Facebook Inc. (FB) in 2012. Carlos Kirjner at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. valued Alibaba at $245 billion, saying previous estimates were too conservative.

        “Alibaba crushed expectations,” Kirjner, whose valuation was the highest in the Bloomberg News survey, wrote in an April 16 report. “These results vindicate our views that Alibaba is a highly valuable asset.”

        While Alibaba hasn’t said how much it will seek in the IPO, a person with knowledge of the matter said the company may sell about a 12 percent stake. That would make it a $20 billion deal, based on the $168 billion valuation.

    • The company worth way more than 150 billion! Sombody hiding something!

    • makes sense to me- around that figure!

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