You are putting a lot of work into hoping for a tiny bit more downside so you can cover. Do you really think this isn't going to pop based on what they have already released about Q4? There is a zero chance of them having a negative outlook. You can hope for another buck on the downside, but if shorting is your only play, I would wait for the pop Tuesday into Wednesday because it will be overdone. You can get some shares in the teens and have a better chance of profit when they correct.
Outlook doesn't mean anything unless there is some other outlook to compare it against, e.g. an analyst report indicating expected earnings and expected outlook. But analysts don't cover this stock, because they don't take it very seriously. Neither do the directors of CBMX, as they haven't decided to buy in either.