It's not news that a blogger on Seeking Alpha gives an opinion. "News" is fact. This view is likely wrong given the small % (about 35% if I recall correctly) of cash flow needed to pay the current dividend. At least if crude remains at around 70, the dividend should be safe. That this blogger gives the same opinion without regard to whether crude is at 40 or 100, should tell you alot about how credible it is.