Yes it is true, an increase in the reserves held at our banks via fed monetize policy alone does not create inflation. Without an uptick in the velocity of money, those reserves being lent out into the real economy, creating growth, jobs, higher wages et cetera one would not normally see too much demand chasing too few goods...
But what you fail to recognize is the powerful force of expectations. Not only is the tinder in place for a large fire in the forms of huge reserves...Risk taking based on negative real interest rates, unprecedented fed policy, expansion of their balance sheet, backstopping of all forms of debt has been creating bubbles for quite some time, not only in the developed economies but the emerging markets as well.
My point is banks are not the only source of lending nor inflation. Govts, stock markets, individuals, companies are already acting on expectations...
What has happened is we now have a world economy addicted and more importantly relies on money printing to resolve all that ails us. The answer to our debt problems has been clearly more debt, this travesty has been taking place for nearly 3 decades now and the many maladies associated with this madness are making themselves known across the globe.
Bottom line, money in theory should be a storage of value, Bernanke has destroyed that premise, has lost our credibility as a reserve currency. We will soon find out as the European crisis unravels how devastating that sin will be...
One buys gold not only for the fear of inflation, but the credible trepidation our system is broken. My view is we either collapse or suffer some form of severe stagflation. No in between, goldilocks ending, hence my ABX position.