Probability of Vringo's Winning this Patent Trial.
If one knows nothing about this trial, and based on historial data, there is about 60% chance that the coin toss will land on the side of the Jury ruling in favor of Vringo.
What is Vringo's probability of winning now if you take the quality of evidences, quality of the lawyers, quality expert witness, judge's pre-trial and during trial ruling, the level of jury's intelligence or education, etc... into consideration?
Its not a coin toss, and 60%? were did you come up with that? Google admitted to using VRNGs code. Google will lose the trial, the only question is how much are they going to have to pay. You shouldnt just throw numbers out there it makes you look stupid
andybenard - you are correct. Vringo's basically won this infridgement case, the trial is not about win or lose but all about how much. Honestly, I think the longer we wait the better VRNG fares....surrounding a greater settlement number. At this jucture, I would estimate we are over a Billion taking both past and future licensing royalties into consideration .
My point is if you know nothing about any given trial at any give time, and if you blindly place bet on the plaintiff 100% of the time, over the long run you would be right about 60% of the time based on historial data.