Alloro, your question appears to be posed by a person looking to do some soul searching.
Good luck trying to predict JCP's price over the short term. This is my take on the JCP investment over the longer term: JCP does not need to do anything spectacular. All JCP needs to do is get back to average. That's it. Get back to average. An average JCP should make the long case a very profitable endeavor.
By the way, successful investors look to the future. Few successful investors make any money by looking at what has already happened.