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Amazon.com Inc. Message Board

  • r545454 r545454 Oct 26, 2005 7:01 AM Flag

    Check Year End Results !!!!! SELLLLL!!!

    Ist Q .18c
    2nd Q .12c
    3rd Q .07c
    4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc
    Total .62C Expected .65% Miss by 5 %
    Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
    No harry potter for 4th quarter....
    Low consumer confidence......
    High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
    Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......

    Inorder for the stock to hit $50 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........


    will update this post as soon as I think of new items.....

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Ist Q .18c
      2nd Q .12c
      3rd Q .07c
      4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc

      Because other companies are getting more popular than this...
      1.Total .62C Expected .65C Miss by 5 % already in this quarter with very low expectatioins..
      2.Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
      3.No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      4.Low consumer confidence......
      5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..will reduce consumer purchase on the other hand if they are low people will go out to buy at retail stores instead of online....
      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......
      7.October is already over with low sales....
      8.Downgrade by citigroup & deutsche ....
      Inorder for the stock to hit $45 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........
      9.Revenue will be declined because of cutoff from Drugstore.com
      10. Since the mandatory HDTV is rescheduled to 2009 Dec there won't be much demand for non media electronic items in near future..
      11.Raising Healthcare costs will increase the costs a little bit...
      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....
      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!
      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..
      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

    • Ist Q .18c
      2nd Q .12c
      3rd Q .07c
      4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc

      Because other companies are getting more popular than this...
      1.Total .62C Expected .65C Miss by 5 % already in this quarter with very low expectatioins..
      2.Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
      3.No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      4.Low consumer confidence......
      5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......
      7.October is already over with low sales....
      8.Downgrade by citigroup & deutsche ....
      Inorder for the stock to hit $45 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........
      9.Revenue will be declined because of cutoff from Drugstore.com
      10. Since the mandatory HDTV is rescheduled to 2009 Dec there won't be much demand for non media electronic items in near future..
      11.Raising Healthcare costs will increase the costs a little bit...
      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....
      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!
      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..
      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

    • It tried that GOOG search for digital cameras and found BUY.COM and many others but not AMZN. I use buy.com for mist everything except books. AMZN is good for books. I think the competition is fierce. Just check that GOOG search on digital cameras and you'll get an idea. This is a very good short above $35. And maybe $35 is a bit high.

    • Wow! An actual intelligent debate on a Yahoo chat!

      My two cents:

      3. No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      Already priced into the stock. Do you think that everyone isn't aware of that?

      Dunno.

      4. 5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
      More reason to buy online!

      I think no. Higher delivery costs. Either higher prices or profit squeeze. Take your pick. Higher fuel costs is why people in my neighborhood are flocking to Costco...cheapest gas around.

      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......

      Nobody has ever heard of these companies.

      Online retail advertising on GOOG is soaring. That seems to refute your view.

      7.October is already over with low sales....

      Actually revenue growth

      Yes, but I think most investors took the guidance range as admitting lower.

      8. Downgrades/upgrades. Snore.

      9. No idea about that, either.

      10. No demand for electronics? Embarrassing claim. I agree with you. But price shopping will draw customers elsewhere for these high-ticket items...Or AMZN will be forced to cut prices more, bad for margins.

      11. Healthcare: No argument.

      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....

      I would say revenue growth is still higher than traditional stores.

      In other words, retail is a bad investment. That's not much of an argument for a retail stock, other than speculating on a new one.

      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!

      nothing wrong with giving options

      Nothing other than the effect on the bottom line and therefore the stock price. Not an unreasonable form of compensation, if that's what you mean.

      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..

      Lowered expectations are much easier to reach. They beat forecast the quarter before..

      Re-examine the guidance. It forecasts maybe up, maybe down. If profits are down, that further confirms shrinking margin trend. Given the high p/e, it cannot be good for the stock price to meet guidance which says company is losing ground.

      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

      Who??? Nobody is going to buy.com

      As mentioned above, GOOG advertisements soaring. buy.com, pricegrabber.com, nextag.com, streetprices.com -- all drawing customers away from AMZN. Do this test: enter "digital cameras" in a Google search. Amazon used to come up. Not on screen at all just now. (Last week, it was discounting all its digital camera...Evidently, this line of products is a bust for AMZN.

    • ExaZtly .... -:]

    • Is this to remind us every day !!!

    • Ist Q .18c
      2nd Q .12c
      3rd Q .07c
      4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc

      Because other companies are getting more popular than this...
      1.Total .62C Expected .65C Miss by 5 % already in this quarter with very low expectatioins..
      2.Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
      3.No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      4.Low consumer confidence......
      5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......
      7.October is already over with low sales....
      8.Downgrade by citigroup & deutsche ....
      Inorder for the stock to hit $45 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........
      9.Revenue will be declined because of cutoff from Drugstore.com
      10. Since the mandatory HDTV is rescheduled to 2009 Dec there won't be much demand for non media electronic items in near future..
      11.Raising Healthcare costs will increase the costs a little bit...
      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....
      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!
      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..
      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

    • Excuse me, fundamentals are nice for academic investors/speculators, but you do know that AMZN is 100% rigged, probably by not so nice people, right?

      If they want to move the price up, they move the price up.

      If they want to move the price down, they move the price down.

      If they don't want to move the price, they don't allow the price to drift away much.

    • Ist Q .18c
      2nd Q .12c
      3rd Q .07c
      4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc

      Because other companies are getting more popular than this...
      1.Total .62C Expected .65C Miss by 5 % already in this quarter with very low expectatioins..
      2.Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
      3.No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      4.Low consumer confidence......
      5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......
      7.October is already over with low sales....
      8.Downgrade by citigroup & deutsche ....
      Inorder for the stock to hit $45 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........
      9.Revenue will be declined because of cutoff from Drugstore.com
      10. Since the mandatory HDTV is rescheduled to 2009 Dec there won't be much demand for non media electronic items in near future..
      11.Raising Healthcare costs will increase the costs a little bit...
      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....
      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!
      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..
      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

    • Ist Q .18c
      2nd Q .12c
      3rd Q .07c
      4th Q .25c only if it can maintain otherwise it will be below that with stiffer competition from walmart.com and target.com bestbuy.com and google.com ebay.com yahoo.com...............etc

      Because other companies are getting more popular than this...
      1.Total .62C Expected .65C Miss by 5 % already in this quarter with very low expectatioins..
      2.Lot of capital spending on technology which will not return any money back as big companies also do...
      3.No harry potter for 4th quarter....
      4.Low consumer confidence......
      5.High fuel costs because of cold winter we are heading into..
      6.Improved customer awareness will move away from traditional amazon.com since everyone is offering free shipping.......
      7.October is already over with low sales....
      8.Downgrade by citigroup & deutsche ....
      Inorder for the stock to hit $45 it has to double the EPS yesterday which is not the case so it needs some to be selllllllllllll........
      9.Revenue will be declined because of cutoff from Drugstore.com
      10. Since the mandatory HDTV is rescheduled to 2009 Dec there won't be much demand for non media electronic items in near future..
      11.Raising Healthcare costs will increase the costs a little bit...
      12.AMZN is no more a growth stock its in matured state with lot of competitors compared to 5 years back....
      13.expensing of options in January which will even reduce their pennies of profit each quarter to about nothing!
      14. with GDP 3.8 it still miss the lower expectations what about 4th quater which will not be that good as last year....chance of missing further down the road..
      15. Check Buy.com advertisement its publicly announcing 10% less than amazon.com

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AMZN
331.32+6.32(+1.94%)Sep 19 4:15 PMEDT

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