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Amazon.com, Inc. Message Board

  • theguru_onstocks theguru_onstocks Jul 30, 2011 10:30 AM Flag

    Barron's Article

    Too brief.

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    • I never said Amazon would ever have a monopoly on anything. What I said is their market share is increasing, but it won't keep increasing, it's can't. I said it will increase until it stops increasing. Amazon will never be selling ALL the books. Their share of the book market has increased for years, but eventually it will level out.

      Is English your first language?

    • <They're not going to get ALL the market share of anything, but there will come a time when they have all the market share they're going to get.>

      Rephrasing or restating a lack-of-substance claim will not make it any less lame, why don't you answer the questions in my previous post and tell us how Amazon, a retailor, is going to have an exclusive market share on ONE thing, except its nobody-cared-about Kindle!

    • "Let me re-phrase that for you. There will come a time when Amazon is no longer gaining market share, and that's when whey'll focus on profit. "

      That's whats known as "too late". Ever play musical chairs?

    • <There will come a time when Amazon has all the market share it's going to get, and that's when they'll focus on profit>

      Let me re-phrase that for you. There will come a time when Amazon is no longer gaining market share, and that's when whey'll focus on profit.

      They're not going to get ALL the market share of anything, but there will come a time when they have all the market share they're going to get.

    • <There will come a time when Amazon has all the market share it's going to get, and that's when they'll focus on profit>

      All market share of what?

      Selling all books?---Amazon can't control all the publishers, nor the authors.

      Selling all kitchen and home cookware or appliances---Amazon can't control the manufactures

      Selling all spices, tea, or foods and juice?---Amazon certainly can't compete with Whole Foods stores

      The ONLY thing that Amazon does able to have the exclusive selling right is its Kindle---but few people are interested in it.

      Tell me how Amazon is going to have ALL the market share of anything else?

      Apple may be able to have almost all the market shares for something, because Apple owns the technology of that something; but Amazon just sells other companies's goods that could be sold on any site in the country or the world, any store in the country or world, or any store plus the store's own site in the country or world.

    • ... and you forgot to end with this colorful finale, as one of the friends did:

      Year-3011: History: Topic-Circa: 1611-2011
      ::
      Therfore, students, we generally consider these phenomena as psychologically equivalent:
      That of the Tulip-Mania of 1637 or the Bluff-Jezos-Momentum-Mania that had
      a spectacular finale in 2011 when the shares exchanged hands for more than
      100-PE for an online grocery_n_trinkets corporation valued for more than 90B (that also
      allowed folks to persist in the clouds) and maxed out at $227 only to find themselves
      in double-digits a year later ....
      ::

      A nice joke by him indeed! :-) Enjoy the descend towards rational-valuation now, while
      making ourselves proud of being a part of the future history in the making! :-)

    • Ok, I will. I don't believe this, I'm just showing shorts that I can argue their position better than they can.

      People, the stock market reacts strongly to all kinds of negative events, such as natural catastrophies, political upheavals, monetary crises. We're due for a "black swan" that will send the market tumbling, AMZN with it. In fact, it's virtually inevitable. We don't know when it will happen, the next 911, the next credit crisis. If you just short AMZN every month, you may lose over and over, but when you hit it will make up for all the loses plus a lot.

      To invest in AMZN is to invest in Jeff Bezos, you pay a huge "CEO" premium with AMZN. Jeff has shown he can get the job done, but is he really focused? Is he bored with Amazon and really focused on his 10,000 year clock and space exploration? These endeavors are separate from Amazon. Even if you watch every you-tube video and read every letter to the stockholders he's written, do you really know him? I suspect he's not like Sam Walton, who wanted to control as much of retail as he could by any means necessart.

      Jeff is now facing competition from the big boys, namely Steve Jobs. Publishing and ebooks could go the way of the Radio Shack "TRS80" computer. They had the market at one time, what happened? They had to face the big boys, and they fell short. Walmart has made great advances in their internet presence, their "ship to store" feature could trump Amazon's "ship to you", because they can implememt it at low cost, unlike Amazon.

      When Jeff decides he needs to fund some high cost project that costs more than he has in his pocket, he'll dump it on the market, and when he does, the price will surely fall, and likely tumble, because the "CEO" premium will have lost it's luster, and you, poor long, will pay the price.

      Ok, how was that?

    • That would be interesting.

      Let's see you try.

    • Yes, and from what you said (that it would be like 2000) you expect the "same" thing to happen which was that someone who bought at the avg. 2000 price of 70 would have more than tripled his money. If he bought at 130 then your "same" thing equates to a price of 420.

      Now, if you mean it WON'T be like 2000 then that is a whole different matter, but you have to make up your mind.

    • Looks like he might be $100 highe tomorrow as we go towards $230!! Yeah baby yeah!! Amzn rocks!!

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AMZN
698.96-23.12(-3.20%)Jun 24 4:00 PMEDT