Amazon.com Inc. Message Board
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$7.97
This is what AMZN is "expected" to earn by 2015. As of today, AMZN has reported a loss of .02 a share. I'm all for buying growth companies but I just thought I'd remind people to be very careful. Wall Street is not for the faint of heart and innocent investors can get slaughtered if they don't look at the bigger picture.
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"innocent investors can get slaughtered if they don't look at the bigger picture."
For decades, innocent investors (shorts) have been slaughtered time after time. The big picture here is that AMZN is totally rigged. -
while AMZN stock skied. The forecasts have been way off but the bullish targets of the stock have not.
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that's a forwadr p/e of 30 3 years out. Considering wal mart has a p/e of 14, that is still an extremely hefty premium for a stock that has more than priced in all these lofty expectations.
- 3 Replies to hot1tip
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Exactly. Even if AMZN were to remain at $260 for the next 2-3 years AND the company actually meets these ridiculous expectations, the company would still carry a trailing price-to-earnings of roughly 30. This is absolutely atrocious. If anyone is looking for value, check out Bed Bath and Beyond ($BBBY), Apple ($AAPL) or Priceline ($PCLN). All three companies are trading and incredible value in comparison to 13' estimates. Load the boat now.
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bigger issue is that the forecast for profits have fallen woefully short so how solid is $7.97 anyway. so it's 30 times 3 years out to some number when you know the peak 4 qtr earnings ever was $2.52, so earnings all the sudden are going toward $7.97 when the analsyts missed the incrasee on top of $2.52 2 years ago. Earnings were 7 cents this years: I'm wondering how solid this $7.97 number is when none given in the past were close. this is why they had to do the bond offering.
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Taxes in the US will continue to go up (2% bump in payroll to start the New Year). Wage increase will be anemic due to the FED's massaged 2% annual inflation number. Therefore, Americans will have less $ to spend on discretionary stuffs.
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Watch for another round of EPS cut in 2013. This POS is a scam, aided by $85B/month of free FED $. Course no country in the history of man has ever print its way out of debt. But it's different this time???
- 1 Reply to nje457
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"Course no country in the history of man has ever print its way out of debt. But it's different this time???"
No, it's not going to be different this time. The U.S. has been bankrupt since 1930's, but the life has gone on until now. No one in his right mind really thinks the U.S. can ever repay $85 trillion dollars in debt. It's just a physical impossibility. But the life has gone on for some 80 years since the U.S. went bankrupt, so it will go on for the foreseeable future.
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