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Amazon.com Inc. Message Board

  • sybil_lives sybil_lives Jan 16, 2013 8:25 PM Flag

    Sybil iz a student of history and haz done mucho market research....

    After reading of bull markets, bear markets, hyper inflationz, and massive depressionz in markets around the world, Sybil haz drawn the following general conclusion that can be best summed up az followz:

    At no point in history, nor in any market that sybil haz read of have stok markets been so high and so hated concurrently. In bull markets stox are highly valued, but loved - so loved. In bear markets stox are assigned low valuez, while being absolutely despised. In this market stox are at record highs, above the 20 year parabola from 1980-2000 even, while simultaneously they are despised and hated by way of massive government intervention. How can this be? Where will this take us? this dynamic haz never been in play, ever looking at markets dating back to the tulipo mania. Bubble - the 1st on record. Interesting to say the least - nice job tim and ben....

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    • It's because the market is the one wealth transmission channel left. Poor and middle class people sell what remaining assets they possess. Senior use it to bridge lower incomes. It limits the rapid decline in consumption -- in Benny's mind. In reality, it further weakens consumption by those with highest marginal propensity to consume and accelerates the decline of the real economy. Doesn't have to be this way. If long only funds (supposedly investors) were to crush the disconnect between technicak valuations and fundamental, the speculative premiums would go away and the country could start healing (as the capital markets would again send robust price signals):

      We are at a very pivotal point. Longs will be selling into a vacuum shortly because the fundamentals are declining. They can support real companies that are genertaing real returns or keep pumping money into greater fool scams (which end up destorying jobs, income and wealth...

      Good luck to all in 2013. The squeeze will end soon (and likely abruptly) and it is all downhill from there...

 
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