lots of know unknowns......while we've been thru the government shutdown before, its always an oppourtnity for a black swan event. Also this one is scheduled to run thru most of October.
nobody knows how the markets will react. With amazon being propped by some robot, if the robot gets overwhelmed with sell orders who knows what will happen.
a historical data point. Back in 1937 the repubs were out to undo FDRs new deal. They proved much of his laws unconstitutional and a crash occurred. WW2 and the Army air corps bombing all the industrial competitors out of business allowed for the US to recover.