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Fusion-io, Inc. Message Board

  • straight01shot straight01shot Feb 5, 2013 8:45 PM Flag

    Pop to the top...

    So here we are pushing 18.00 this afternoon... market up big and FIO getting pulled along 6/7 hundred shares at a time... must be that law of small numbers at play... absolutely no reason for the advance except market forces as we have an order freeze in effect from the two big kahunas... now you have to ask yourself, honestly, with the big question mark necklace around Dave's head do you believe the market continues to bid this up to a meaningful level without proof that A/FB haven't left the dance with another player... I know all the board hoopla about unbelievable technology, FIO is the only game in town and big data and the cloud are exploding... if that's really the case why is it the biggest players with the biggest data and the highest clouds both stand on the binders for 6 months... I look for the market to briefly follow through in the morning and turn on a dime around 14020... FIO will top out in the 17.90's and follow the violence down...

    Sentiment: Sell

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    • 3m shares is light volume? Not Check out even the 50d ema. We had 40m shares sold/shorted after earnings last week on top of the last reported SI of 20m. So here's some comedy for you: Do you think there is more shares short than the float now? LOL You might ask yourself if some of the pro hedge shorts to reduced net longs came off hard as the nub shorters thought the second 5k of that selling was a good idea below $17.

      As another short player asked, "Why didn't this drop a lot more on such a huge miss?" Several here have touched on the answer to that. The institutional longs understand the story here much better than you are advised and gladly sucked up the overdone selling. While it is likely that essentially all of the professional shorting prior to the report are now covered in, that is where the volume story is a riot... likely a big portion of any new shorting last week and since is likely not except any long offsets.

      Board "hoopla about unbelievable technology"? There's no hoopla here -- you must be confused between that on the OCZ board and here. There they cheer as they have since the former ceo was kicked out that ocz was going to crush FIO and all others in server side flash (I'm framing the argument -- most of the faithful longs on that board don't even know what that means). On this story, the hoopla is the documented performance specs, the engineers attending FIO presentations with the tech team, and the reality you seem troubled with, that some of the world's fastest growing companies in the realm of big data/cloud services want only what everyone in the business knows is the best equipment/software for the applications. Quick quiz for you now: what is the construction schedule for FB's next 7 data centers after completing the two phase center in oregon (you know, the one right next to AAPLs new center there). LOL

      As for your strung together "argument" that the ceo is lying about FB and AAPL are going somewhere else, you might read the Q&A portion of the transcript a few times. Have you ever heard of "errors and omissions" in the context of deliberately misleading statements made by managrement of registrants?
      We'll suggest that Dave, a top flight guy, isn't going to prison to keep the stock up for a couple months.
      There, your bs fails badly.

      As for the stock might go up or down or stay about the same for a day or two? Get out the dart board for that kind of "trading." For us, this remains a small part of our overall allocation... but likely the most upside position this year, plus the $2 still missing from last week. Love the fact that the stock is up more than 15% from where you MIT experts on flash storage were shorting last week though.

    • you should try your hand at writing, maybe sci-fi, as you are not good at what you are doing now.

    • It may very well work out that way. But if a buyout happens and you miss it then there will be some happy people and unhappy people.

      Sentiment: Hold

 

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