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Fusion-io, Inc. Message Board

  • dhfexpress dhfexpress Oct 4, 2013 10:56 AM Flag

    Why FIO will move higher within 2 weeks

    Look at the chart for MU which also got hit hard this year but bounced back from its 52 week low .... just weeks ago it also formed a base right where FIO is trading now and now is at $18 and moving higher. If no buyout offer beforehand FIO will likely see same pattern by Oct 21st right after earnings call as Mr Shane will no doubt give positive outlook going forward based on recent PR's of flash storage being adopted worldwide. I also think earnings could beat estimates based on same PR's as Shane's focus from the get go was expansion overseas so a double whammy could catapult FIO PPS should both occur. Any company considering making an offer on FIO would anticipate this also and would want to make an offer befor Oct 21st before another potential run up in stock price. There is also the option expiration on Oct 19th which has major open interest on the call side on Oct $15's thru $18's ....that said if insiders (i.e. mentioned it to friends and relatives with disclaimer "you didnt here it from me ") were in part the reason for the high call side volume then a buyout offer likely could take place before Oct 19th so next 2 weeks should be a roller coaster for FIO

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    • Comparing this company or its stock to Micron is your first mistake. Get real.

      • 1 Reply to inbounds7
      • The only comparison i was making was they both got hit hard and had made a bounce back from lows and both made a base in the 13's. If from that you gather I dont comprehend the difference between a $19 b market cap company like MU that has been in business for 35 yrs and FIO with just over $1b MC that has been in business for 8 yrs then perhaps you read more into the post than I actually posted.. I will say this .... FIO will have a catalyst that will move PPS higher within next 2 weeks is my seculative opinion just as MU had news which moved it higher ... I noticed another poster claimed it was only due to a fire torching a competitors warehouse ....perhaps you should suggest he get real ....sure the fire news helped MU but there were other reasons also such as an upgrade with $25 price target.

    • I agree with you to a certain extent. FIO, right now is very important in their space and it is hard to believe that no one is not taking a hard look at this company that can enhance their business going forward. When you look at the prices in the M & A's, IPO's in this space you begin to wonder why CEO's in related companies are seriously looking for a company that right now is best in class and that could be had for a decent price compared to what I have mentioned above. With that being said, I agree that FIO will surprise on the up side when the earnings announcement is given, More importantly it will also show that with the capture of new wins with new and major customers and future wins, that it will not be as dependent on the two or three major customers it has been dependent on for the last two years which has been a major knock on this company and has had a major effect as to them meeting numbers as market conditions have hampered the timing on receiving product within their expectations. I do believe that FIO has the technology that will keep them in the forefront for the next few years and as they ramp up with existing companies expanding into other major markets and landing the new companies we have been hearing about , will make them more self sufficient in their reporting and guiding better for the future. But , I think for this company to reach their full potential they would be better served by being bought by a major that can add the synergies to get them
      where there full potential lies. I have lost money so far on this company but I have held on as I do believe that they will achieve this even though it has taken a little longer then I thought it would be.

    • so basically you have absolutely nothing of substance behind your speculation. other than you see similarity between this stock chart and Micron's which is only running due to a fire at a competitor?

    • treene@att.net treene Oct 4, 2013 11:22 AM Flag

      do you know that they report earnings on the 21st. i am showing the 21st on etrades site and the 23rd on tdameritrade. both afterhours. can you clarify.....thanks

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

      • 2 Replies to treene
      • Below is from yahoo link to Company Events ...There will be a PR a few days before ...my guess is earnings will follow buyout offer in which case likely will have little effect as price of stock will be hovering near offer price. If no offer before earnings then it should prove to be a good day for FIO as new customers are signing on to FIO tech at a rapid rate and FIO is ready for more having increased their inventory quite a bit over previous year so demand is at a high.

        Fusion-io, Inc. (FIO)
        -NYSE

        13.83 Up 0.15(1.10%) 4:04PM EDT|After Hours : 13.78 Down 0.05 (0.36%) 4:53PM EDT
        Add to Portfolio
        Company Events Get Company Events for:
        Upcoming Events
        Date Event Reminder
        21-Oct-13 Earnings announcement Set a Reminder

      • Earnings Whispers shows an earnings date of November 6th, after close, un-confirmed.

        Sentiment: Strong Buy

 
FIO
11.28+0.02(+0.18%)Jul 11 4:01 PMEDT

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